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Machine Learning Model Evaluation

If we were to list the technologies that have revolutionized and changed our lives for the better, then Machine Learning will occupy the top spot. This cutting-edge technology is used in a wide variety of applications in day-to-day life. ML has become an integral component in most of the industries like Healthcare, Software, Manufacturing, Business and aims to solve many complex problems while reducing human effort and dependency. This it does by accurately predicting solutions for problems and various applications.Generally there are two important stages in machine learning. They are Training & Evaluation of the model. Initially we take a dataset to feed to the machine learning model, and this process of feeding the data to our Designed ML model is called Training. In the training stage, the model learns the behavior of data, capable of handling different forms of data to better suit the model, draws conclusion from the data and finally predicts the end results using the model.This technique of training helps a user to know the output of the designed machine learning model for the given problem, the inputs given to the model, and the output that is obtained at the end of the model.But as machine learning model engineers, we might doubt the applicability of the model for the problem and have questions like, is the developed Machine learning model best suited for the problem, how accurate the model is, how can we say this is the best model that suits the given problem statement and what are the measures that describe model performance?In order to get clarity on the above questions, there is a technique called Model Evaluation, that describes the performance of the model and helps us understand if the designed model is suitable for the given problem statement or not.This article helps you to know, the various measures involved in calculating performance of a model for a particular problem and other key aspects involved.What is Model Evaluation?This technique of Evaluation helps us to know which algorithm best suits the given dataset for solving a particular problem. Likewise, in terms of Machine Learning it is called as “Best Fit”. It evaluates the performance of different Machine Learning models, based on the same input dataset. The method of evaluation focuses on accuracy of the model, in predicting the end outcomes.Out of all the different algorithms we use in the stage, we choose the algorithm that gives more accuracy for the input data and is considered as the best model as it better predicts the outcome. The accuracy is considered as the main factor, when we work on solving different problems using machine learning. If the accuracy is high, the model predictions on the given data are also true to the maximum possible extent.There are several stages in solving an ML problem like collection of dataset, defining the problem, brainstorming on the given data, preprocessing, transformation, training the model and evaluating. Even though there are several stages, the stage of Evaluation of a ML model is the most crucial stage, because it gives us an idea of the accuracy of model prediction. The performance and usage of the ML model is decided in terms of accuracy measures at the end.Model Evaluation TechniquesWe have known that the model evaluation is an Integral part in Machine Learning. Initially, the dataset is divided into two types, they are “Training dataset” and “Test dataset”. We build the machine learning model using the training dataset to see the functionality of the model. But we evaluate the designed Model using a test dataset, which consists of unseen or unknown samples of the data that are not used for training purposes. Evaluation of a model tells us how accurate the results were. If we use the training dataset for evaluation of the model, for any instance of the training data it will always show the correct predictions for the given problem with high accuracy measures, in that case our model is not adequately effective to use.  There are two methods that are used to evaluate a model performance. They are  Holdout Cross ValidationThe Holdout method is used to evaluate the model performance and uses two types of data for testing and training. The test data is used to calculate the performance of the model whereas it is trained using the training data set.  This method is used to check how well the machine learning model developed using different algorithm techniques performs on unseen samples of data. This approach is simple, flexible and fast.Cross-validation is a procedure of dividing the whole dataset into data samples, and then evaluating the machine learning model using the other samples of data to know accuracy of the model. i.e., we train the model using a subset of data and we evaluate it with a complementary data subset. We can calculate cross validation based on the following 3 methods, namely Validation Leave one out cross validation (LOOCV) K-Fold Cross ValidationIn the method of validation, we split the given dataset into 50% of training and 50% for testing purpose. The main drawback in this method is that the remaining 50% of data that is subjected to testing may contain some crucial information that may be lost while training the model. So, this method doesn’t work properly due to high bias.In the method of LOOCV, we train all the datasets in our model and leave a single data point for testing purpose. This method aims at exhibiting lower bias, but there are some chances that this method might fail because, the data-point that has been left out may be an outlier in the given data; and in that case we cannot produce better results with good accuracy. K-fold cross validation is a popular method used for evaluation of a Machine Learning model. It works by splitting the data into k-parts. Each split of the data is called a fold. Here we train all the k subsets of data to the model, and then we leave out one (k-1) subset to perform evaluation on the trained model. This method results in high accuracy and produces data with less bias.Types of Predictive ModelsPredictive models are used to predict the outcomes from the given data by using a developed ML model. Before getting the actual output from the model, we can predict the outcomes with the help of given data. The prediction models are widely used in machine learning, to guess the outcomes from the data before designing a model. There are different types of predictive models: Classification model Clustering model Forecast model Outlier modelA Classification model is used in decision making problems. It separates the given data into different categories, and this model is best suited to answer “Yes” or “No” questions. It is the simplest of all the predictive models.Real Life Applications: Projects like Gender Classification, Fraud detection, Product Categorization, Malware classification, documents classification etc.Clustering models are used to group the given data based on similar attributes. This model helps us to know how many groups are present in the given dataset and we can analyze what are the groups, which we should focus on to solve the given problem statement.Real Life Applications: Projects like categorizing different people present in a classroom, types of customers in a bank, identifying fake news, spam filter, document analysis etc.A forecast model learns from the historical data in order to predict the new data based on learning. It majorly deals with metric values.Real Life Applications: Projects like weather forecast, sales forecast, stocks prices, Heart Rate Monitoring etc.Outlier model focuses on identifying irrelevant data in the given dataset. If the data consists of outliers, we cannot get good results as the outliers have irrelevant data. The outliers may have categorical or numerical type of data associated with them.Real Life Applications: Major applications are used in Retail Industries, Finance Industries, Quality Control, Fault Diagnosis, web analytics etc.Classification MetricsIn order to evaluate the performance of a Machine Learning model, there are some Metrics to know its performance and are applied for Regression and Classification algorithms. The different types of classification metrics are: Classification Accuracy Confusion Matrix Logarithmic Loss Area under Curve (AUC) F-MeasureClassification AccuracyClassification accuracy is similar to the term Accuracy. It is the ratio of the correct predictions to the total number of Predictions made by the model from the given data.We can get better accuracy if the given data samples have the same type of data related to the given problem statement. If the accuracy is high, the model is more accurate and we can use the model in the real world and for different types of applications also.If the accuracy is less, it shows that the data samples are not correctly classified to suit the given problem.Confusion MatrixIt is a NxN matrix structure used for evaluating the performance of a classification model, where N is the number of classes that are predicted. It is operated on a test dataset in which the true values are known. The matrix lets us know about the number of incorrect and correct predictions made by a classifier and is used to find correctness of the model. It consists of values like True Positive, False Positive, True Negative, and False Negative, which helps in measuring Accuracy, Precision, Recall, Specificity, Sensitivity, and AUC curve. The above measures will talk about the model performance and compare with other models to describe how good it is.There are 4 important terms in confusion matrix: True Positives (TP): The cases in which our predictions are TRUE, and the actual output was also TRUE. True Negatives (TN): The cases in which our predictions are FALSE, and the actual output was also FALSE. False Positives (FP): The cases in which our predictions are TRUE, and the actual output was FALSE. False Negative (FN): The cases in which our predictions are FALSE, and the actual output was TRUE. The accuracy can be calculated by using the mean of True Positive and True Negative values of the total sample values. It tells us about the total number of predictions made by the model that were correct. Precision is the ratio of Number of True Positives in the sample to the total Positive samples predicted by the classifier. It tells us about the positive samples that were correctly identified by the model.  Recall is the ratio of Number of True Positives in the sample to the sum of True Positive and False Negative samples in the data.  F1 ScoreIt is also called as F-Measure. It is a best measure of the Test accuracy of the developed model. It makes our task easy by eliminating the need to calculate Precision and Recall separately to know about the model performance. F1 Score is the Harmonic mean of Recall and Precision. Higher the F1 Score, better the performance of the model. Without calculating Precision and Recall separately, we can calculate the model performance using F1 score as it is precise and robust.Sensitivity is the ratio of Number of actual True Positive Samples to the sum of True Positive and False Positive Samples. It tells about the positive samples that are identified correctly with respect to all the positive data samples in the given data. It is also called as True Positive Rate.  Specificity is also called the True Negative Rate. It is the ratio of the Number of True Negatives in the sample to the sum of True negative and the False positive samples in the given dataset. It tells about the number of actual Negative samples that are correctly identified from the given dataset. False positive rate is defined as 1-specificity. It is the ratio of number of False Positives in the sample to the sum of False positive and True Negative samples. It tells us about the Negative data samples that are classified as Positive, with respect to all Negative data samples.For each value of sensitivity, we get a different value of specificity and they are associated as follows:   Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC - ROC)It is a widely used Evaluation Metric, mainly used for Binary Classification. The False positive rates and the True positive rates have the values ranging from 0 to 1. The TPR and FPR are calculated with different threshold values and a graph is drawn to better understand about the data. Thus, the Area Under Curve is the plot between false positive rate and True positive rate at different values of [0,1].Logarithmic LossIt is also called Log Loss. As we know, the AUC ROC determines the model performance using the predicted probabilities, but it does not consider model capability to predict the higher probability of samples to be more likely positive. This technique is mostly used in Multi-class Classification. It is calculated to the negative average of the log of correctly predicted probabilities for each instance. where, y_ij, indicates whether sample i belongs to class j or not p_ij, indicates the probability of sample i belonging to class j Regression MetricsIt helps to predict the state of outcome at any time with the help of independent variables that are correlated. There are mainly 3 different types of metrics used in regression. These metrics are designed in order to predict if the data is underfitted or overfitted for the better usage of the model.  They are:-  Mean Absolute Error (MAE)  Mean Squared Error (MSE) Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE)Mean Absolute Error is the average of the difference of the original values and the predicted values. It gives us an idea of how far the predictions are from the actual output. It doesn’t give clarity on whether the data is under fitted or over fitted. It is calculated as follows:The mean squared error is similar to the mean absolute error. It is computed by taking the average of the square of the difference between original and predicted values. With the help of squaring, large errors can be converted to small errors and large errors can be dealt with.  It is computed as follows. The root mean squared error is the root of the mean of the square of difference of the predicted and actual values of the given data. It is the most popular metric evolution technique used in regression problems. It follows a normal distribution and is based on the assumption that errors are unbiased. It is computed using the below formulae.Bias vs VarianceBias is the difference between the Expected value and the Predicted value by our model. It is simply some assumptions made by the model to make the target function easier to learn. The low bias indicates fewer assumptions, whereas the high bias talks about more assumptions in the target data. It leads to underfitting of the model.Variance takes all types of data including noise into it. The model considers the variance as something to learn, and the model learns too much from the trained data, and at the end the model fails in giving out accurate results to the given problem statement. In case of high variance, the model learns too much and it can lead to overfitting of the model. ConclusionWhile building a machine learning model for a given problem statement there are two important stages, namely training and testing. In the training stage, the models learn from the data and predict the outcomes at the end. But it is crucial that predictions made by the developed model are accurate. This is why the stage of testing is the most crucial stage, because it can guarantee how accurate the results were to implement for the given problem.  In this blog, we have discussed about various types of Evaluation techniques to achieve a good model that best suits a given problem statement with highly accurate results. We need to check all the above-mentioned parameters to be able to compare our model performance as compared to other models.

Machine Learning Model Evaluation

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Machine Learning Model Evaluation

If we were to list the technologies that have revolutionized and changed our lives for the better, then Machine Learning will occupy the top spot. This cutting-edge technology is used in a wide variety of applications in day-to-day life. ML has become an integral component in most of the industries like Healthcare, Software, Manufacturing, Business and aims to solve many complex problems while reducing human effort and dependency. This it does by accurately predicting solutions for problems and various applications.

Generally there are two important stages in machine learning. They are Training & Evaluation of the model. Initially we take a dataset to feed to the machine learning model, and this process of feeding the data to our Designed ML model is called Training. In the training stage, the model learns the behavior of data, capable of handling different forms of data to better suit the model, draws conclusion from the data and finally predicts the end results using the model.

This technique of training helps a user to know the output of the designed machine learning model for the given problem, the inputs given to the model, and the output that is obtained at the end of the model.

But as machine learning model engineers, we might doubt the applicability of the model for the problem and have questions like, is the developed Machine learning model best suited for the problem, how accurate the model is, how can we say this is the best model that suits the given problem statement and what are the measures that describe model performance?

In order to get clarity on the above questions, there is a technique called Model Evaluation, that describes the performance of the model and helps us understand if the designed model is suitable for the given problem statement or not.

This article helps you to know, the various measures involved in calculating performance of a model for a particular problem and other key aspects involved.

What is Model Evaluation?

This technique of Evaluation helps us to know which algorithm best suits the given dataset for solving a particular problem. Likewise, in terms of Machine Learning it is called as “Best Fit”. It evaluates the performance of different Machine Learning models, based on the same input dataset. The method of evaluation focuses on accuracy of the model, in predicting the end outcomes.

Out of all the different algorithms we use in the stage, we choose the algorithm that gives more accuracy for the input data and is considered as the best model as it better predicts the outcome. The accuracy is considered as the main factor, when we work on solving different problems using machine learning. If the accuracy is high, the model predictions on the given data are also true to the maximum possible extent.

There are several stages in solving an ML problem like collection of dataset, defining the problem, brainstorming on the given data, preprocessing, transformation, training the model and evaluating. Even though there are several stages, the stage of Evaluation of a ML model is the most crucial stage, because it gives us an idea of the accuracy of model prediction. The performance and usage of the ML model is decided in terms of accuracy measures at the end.

How to solve a problem

Model Evaluation Techniques

We have known that the model evaluation is an Integral part in Machine Learning. Initially, the dataset is divided into two types, they are “Training dataset and “Test dataset”. We build the machine learning model using the training dataset to see the functionality of the model. But we evaluate the designed Model using a test dataset, which consists of unseen or unknown samples of the data that are not used for training purposesEvaluation of a model tells us how accurate the results wereIf we use the training dataset for evaluation of the model, for any instance of the training data it will always show the correct predictions for the given problem with high accuracy measures, in that case our model is not adequately effective to use.  

There are two methods that are used to evaluate a model performance. They are  

  1. Holdout 
  2. Cross ValidationModel Evaluation Techniques

The Holdout method is used to evaluate the model performance and uses two types of data for testing and training. The test data is used to calculate the performance of the model whereas it is trained using the training data set.  This method is used to check how well the machine learning model developed using different algorithm techniques performs on unseen samples of dataThis approach is simple, flexible and fast.

Cross-validation is a procedure of dividing the whole dataset into data samples, and then evaluating the machine learning model using the other samples of data to know accuracy of the model. i.e., we train the model using subset of data and we evaluate it with a complementary data subset. We can calculate cross validation based on the following 3 methods, namely 

  1. Validation 
  2. Leave one out cross validation (LOOCV) 
  3. K-Fold Cross Validation

In the method of validation, we split the given dataset into 50% of training and 50% for testing purpose. The main drawback in this method is that the remaining 50% of data that is subjected to testing may contain some crucial information that may be lost while training the model. So, this method doesn’t work properly due to high bias.

In the method of LOOCV, we train all the datasets in our model and leave a single data point for testing purpose. This method aims at exhibiting lower bias, but there are some chances that this method might fail because, the data-point that has been left out may be an outlier in the given data; and in that case we cannot produce better results with good accuracy. 

K-fold cross validation is a popular method used for evaluation of a Machine Learning model. It works by splitting the data into k-parts. Each split of the data is called a fold. Here we train all the k subsets of data to the model, and then we leave out one (k-1) subset to perform evaluation on the trained model. This method results in high accuracy and produces data with less bias.

Types of Predictive Models

Predictive models are used to predict the outcomes from the given data by using a developed ML model. Before getting the actual output from the model, we can predict the outcomes with the help of given data. The prediction models are widely used in machine learning, to guess the outcomes from the data before designing a model. There are different types of predictive models:

  1. Classification model
  2. Clustering model
  3. Forecast model
  4. Outlier model

A Classification model is used in decision making problems. It separates the given data into different categories, and this model is best suited to answer “Yes” or “No” questions. It is the simplest of all the predictive models.

Real Life Applications: Projects like Gender Classification, Fraud detection, Product Categorization, Malware classification, documents classification etc.

Clustering models are used to group the given data based on similar attributes. This model helps us to know how many groups are present in the given dataset and we can analyze what are the groups, which we should focus on to solve the given problem statement.

Real Life Applications: Projects like categorizing different people present in a classroom, types of customers in a bank, identifying fake news, spam filter, document analysis etc.

A forecast model learns from the historical data in order to predict the new data based on learning. It majorly deals with metric values.

Real Life Applications: Projects like weather forecast, sales forecast, stocks prices, Heart Rate Monitoring etc.

Outlier model focuses on identifying irrelevant data in the given dataset. If the data consists of outliers, we cannot get good results as the outliers have irrelevant data. The outliers may have categorical or numerical type of data associated with them.

Real Life Applications: Major applications are used in Retail Industries, Finance Industries, Quality Control, Fault Diagnosis, web analytics etc.

Classification Metrics

In order to evaluate the performance of a Machine Learning model, there are some Metrics to know its performance and are applied for Regression and Classification algorithms. The different types of classification metrics are: 

  1. Classification Accuracy 
  2. Confusion Matrix 
  3. Logarithmic Loss 
  4. Area under Curve (AUC) 
  5. F-Measure

Classification Accuracy

Classification accuracy is similar to the term Accuracy. It is the ratio of the correct predictions to the total number of Predictions made by the model from the given data.Classification Accuracy formula

We can get better accuracy if the given data samples have the same type of data related to the given problem statementIf the accuracy is high, the model is more accurate and we can use the model in the real world and for different types of applications also.

If the accuracy is less, it shows that the data samples are not correctly classified to suit the given problem.

Confusion Matrix

It is a NxN matrix structure used for evaluating the performance of a classification model, where N is the number of classes that are predicted. It is operated on a test dataset in which the true values are known. The matrix lets us know about the number of incorrect and correct predictions made by a classifier and is used to find correctness of the model. It consists of values like True Positive, False Positive, True Negative, and False Negative, which helps in measuring Accuracy, Precision, Recall, Specificity, Sensitivity, and AUC curve. The above measures will talk about the model performance and compare with other models to describe how good it is.

There are 4 important terms in confusion matrix: 

  1. True Positives (TP): The cases in which our predictions are TRUE, and the actual output was also TRUE. 
  2. True Negatives (TN): The cases in which our predictions are FALSE, and the actual output was also FALSE. 
  3. False Positives (FP): The cases in which our predictions are TRUE, and the actual output was FALSE. 
  4. False Negative (FN): The cases in which our predictions are FALSE, and the actual output was TRUE. 

The accuracy can be calculated by using the mean of True Positive and True Negative values of the total sample values. It tells us about the total number of predictions made by the model that were correct. 

Precision is the ratio of Number of True Positives in the sample to the total Positive samples predicted by the classifier. It tells us about the positive samples that were correctly identified by the model.  

Recall is the ratio of Number of True Positives in the sample to the sum of True Positive and False Negative samples in the data.  

F1 Score

It is also called as F-Measure. It is a best measure of the Test accuracy of the developed model. It makes our task easy by eliminating the need to calculate Precision and Recall separately to know about the model performance. F1 Score is the Harmonic mean of Recall and Precision. Higher the F1 Score, better the performance of the model. Without calculating Precision and Recall separately, we can calculate the model performance using F1 score as it is precise and robust.

Sensitivity is the ratio of Number of actual True Positive Samples to the sum of True Positive and False Positive Samples. It tells about the positive samples that are identified correctly with respect to all the positive data samples in the given data. It is also called as True Positive Rate.  

Specificity is also called the True Negative Rate. It is the ratio of the Number of True Negatives in the sample to the sum of True negative and the False positive samples in the given dataset. It tells about the number of actual Negative samples that are correctly identified from the given dataset. 

False positive rate is defined as 1-specificity. It is the ratio of number of False Positives in the sample to the sum of False positive and True Negative samples. It tells us about the Negative data samples that are classified as Positive, with respect to all Negative data samples.

For each value of sensitivity, we get a different value of specificity and they are associated as follows:   

Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC - ROC)

It is a widely used Evaluation Metric, mainly used for Binary ClassificationThe False positive rates and the True positive rates have the values ranging from 0 to 1The TPR and FPR are calculated with different threshold values and a graph is drawn to better understand about the data. Thus, the Area Under Curve is the plot between false positive rate and True positive rate at different values of [0,1].

Logarithmic Loss

It is also called Log LossAs we know, the AUC ROC determines the model performance using the predicted probabilities, but it does not consider model capability to predict the higher probability of samples to be more likely positive. This technique is mostly used in Multi-class Classification. It is calculated to the negative average of the log of correctly predicted probabilities for each instance. 

where, 

  • y_ij, indicates whether sample i belongs to class j or not 
  • p_ij, indicates the probability of sample i belonging to class j 

Regression Metrics

It helps to predict the state of outcome at any time with the help of independent variables that are correlated. There are mainly 3 different types of metrics used in regression. These metrics are designed in order to predict if the data is underfitted or overfitted for the better usage of the model.  

They are:-  

  1. Mean Absolute Error (MAE)  
  2. Mean Squared Error (MSE) 
  3. Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE)

Mean Absolute Error is the average of the difference of the original values and the predicted values. It gives us an idea of how far the predictions are from the actual output. It doesn’t give clarity on whether the data is under fitted or over fitted. It is calculated as follows:

  • The mean squared error is similar to the mean absolute error. It is computed by taking the average of the square of the difference between original and predicted values. With the help of squaring, large errors can be converted to small errors and large errors can be dealt with It is computed as follows. 
  • The root mean squared error is the root of the mean of the square of difference of the predicted and actual values of the given data. It is the most popular metric evolution technique used in regression problems. It follows a normal distribution and is based on the assumption that errors are unbiased. It is computed using the below formulae.

Bias vs Variance

Bias is the difference between the Expected value and the Predicted value by our model. It is simply some assumptions made by the model to make the target function easier to learn. The low bias indicates fewer assumptions, whereas the high bias talks about more assumptions in the target data. It leads to underfitting of the model.

Variance takes all types of data including noise into it. The model considers the variance as something to learn, and the model learns too much from the trained data, and at the end the model fails in giving out accurate results to the given problem statement. In case of high variance, the model learns too much and it can lead to overfitting of the model. 

Conclusion

While building a machine learning model for a given problem statement there are two important stages, namely training and testing. In the training stage, the models learn from the data and predict the outcomes at the end. But it is crucial that predictions made by the developed model are accurateThis is why the stage of testing is the most crucial stage, because it can guarantee how accurate the results were to implement for the given problem.  

In this blog, we have discussed about various types of Evaluation techniques to achieve a good model that best suits a given problem statement with highly accurate results. We need to check all the above-mentioned parameters to be able to compare our model performance as compared to other models.

Harsha

Harsha Vardhan Garlapati

Blog Writer at KnowledgeHut

Harsha Vardhan Garlapati is a Data Science Enthusiast and loves working with data to draw meaningful insights from it and further convert those results and implement them in business growth. He is a final year undergraduate student and passionate about Data Science. He is a smart worker, passionate learner,  an Ice-Breaker and loves to participate in Hackathons to work on real time projects. He is a Toastmaster Member at S.R.K.R Toastmasters Club, a Public Speaker, a good Innovator and problem solver.

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It needs to be renewed after three years.The application process is in itself quite complex, and it also involves signing the CAP Code of Ethics before one is given the certification. The CAP panel reviews each application, and those who pass this review are the only ones who can give the exam.  Prerequisite: A bachelor’s degree with 5 years of professional experience or a master's degree with 3 years of professional experience.  Exam Fee & Format: The base price is $695. For individuals who are members of INFORMS the price is $495. (Source) The pass percentage is 70%. The format is a four option MCQ paper. Salary: $76808 per year (Source) 2. Cloudera Certified Associate (CCA) Data Analyst Cloudera has a well-earned reputation in the IT sector, and its Associate Data analyst certification can help bolster the resume of Business intelligence specialists, system architects, data analysts, database administrators as well as developers. It has a specific focus on SQL developers who aim to show their proficiency on the platform.This certificate validates an applicant's ability to operate in a CDH environment by Cloudera using Impala and Hive tools. One doesn't need to turn to expensive tuitions and academies as Cloudera offers an Analyst Training course with almost the same objectives as the exam, leaving one with a good grasp of the fundamentals.   Prerequisites: basic knowledge of SQL and Linux Command line Exam Fee & Format: The cost of the exam is $295 (Source), The test is a performance-based test containing 8-12 questions to be completed in a proctored environment under 129 minutes.  Expected Salary: You can earn the job title of Cloudera Data Analyst that pays up to $113,286 per year. (Source)3. Associate Certified Analytics Professional (aCAP)aCAP is an entry-level certification for Analytics professionals with lesser experience but effective knowledge, which helps in real-life situations. It is for those candidates who have a master’s degree in a field related to data analytics.  It is one of the few vendor-neutral certifications on the list and must be converted to CAP within 6 years, so it offers a good opportunity for those with a long term path in a Data Analytics career. It also needs to be renewed every three years, like the CAP certification. Like its professional counterpart, aCAP helps a candidate step out in a vendor-neutral manner and drastically increases their professional credibility.  Prerequisite: Master’s degree in any discipline related to data Analytics. Exam Fee: The base price is $300. For individuals who are members of INFORMS the price is $200. (Source). There is an extensive syllabus which covers: i. Business Problem Framing, ii. Analytics Problem Framing, iii. Data, iv. Methodology Selection, v. Model Building, vi. Deployment, vii. Lifecycle Management of the Analytics process, problem-solving, data science and visualisation and much more.4. SAS Certified Data Analyst (Using SAS9)From one of the pioneers in IT and Statistics - the SAS Institute of Data Management - a SAS Certified Data Scientist can gain insights and analyse various aspects of data from businesses using tools like the SAS software and other open-source methodology. It also validates competency in using complex machine learning models and inferring results to interpret future business strategy and release models using the SAS environment. SAS Academy for Data Science is a viable institute for those who want to receive proper training for the exam and use this as a basis for their career.  Prerequisites: To earn this credential, one needs to pass 5 exams, two from the SAS Certified Big Data Professional credential and three exams from the SAS Certified Advanced Analytics Professional Credential. Exam Fee: The cost for each exam is $180. (Source) An exception is Predictive Modelling using the SAS Enterprise Miner, costing $250, This exam can be taken in the English language. One can join the SAS Academy for Data Science and also take a practice exam beforehand. Salary: You can get a job as a SAS Data Analyst that pays up to $90,000 per year! (Source) 5. IBM Data Science Professional CertificateWhenever someone studies the history of a computer, IBM (International Business Machines) is the first brand that comes up. IBM is still alive and kicking, now having forayed into and becoming a major player in the Big Data segment. The IBM Data Science Professional certificate is one of the beginner-level certificates if you want to sink your hands into the world of data analysis. It shows a candidate's skills in various topics pertaining to data sciences, including various open-source tools, Python databases, SWL, data visualisation, and data methodologies.  One needs to complete nine courses to earn the certificate. It takes around three months if one works twelve hours per week. It also involves the completion of various hands-on assignments and building a portfolio. A candidate earns the Professional certificate from Coursera and a badge from IBM that recognises a candidate's proficiency in the area. Prerequisites: It is the optimal course for freshers since it requires no requisite programming knowledge or proficiency in Analytics. Exam Fee: It costs $39 per month (Source) to access the course materials and the certificate. The course is handled by the Coursera organisation. Expected Salary: This certification can earn you the title of IBM Data Scientist and help you earn a salary of $134,846 per annum. (Source) 6. Microsoft Certified Azure Data Scientist AssociateIt's one of the most well-known certifications for newcomers to step into the field of Big Data and Data analytics. This credential is offered by the leader in the industry, Microsoft Azure. This credential validates a candidate's ability to work with Microsoft Azure developing environment and proficiency in analysing big data, preparing data for the modelling process, and then progressing to designing models. One advantage of this credential is that it has no expiry date and does not need renewal; it also authorises the candidate’s extensive knowledge in predictive Analytics. Prerequisites: knowledge and experience in data science and using Azure Machine Learning and Azure Databricks. Exam Fee: It costs $165 to (Source) register for the exam. One advantage is that there is no need to attend proxy institutions to prepare for this exam, as Microsoft offers free training materials as well as an instructor-led course that is paid. There is a comprehensive collection of resources available to a candidate. Expected Salary: The job title typically offered is Microsoft Data Scientist and it typically fetches a yearly pay of $130,993.(Source) Why be a Data Analytics professional? For those already working in the field of data, being a Data Analyst is one of the most viable options. The salary of a data analyst ranges from $65,000 to $85,000 depending on number of years of experience. This lucrative salary makes it worth the investment to get a certification and advance your skills to the next level so that you can work for multinational companies by interpreting and organising data and using this analysis to accelerate businesses. These certificates demonstrate that you have the required knowledge needed to operate data models of the volumes needed by big organizations. 1. Demand is more than supply With the advent of the Information Age, there has been a huge boom in companies that either entirely or partially deal with IT. For many companies IT forms the core of their business. Every business has to deal with data, and it is crucial to get accurate insights from this data and use it to further business interests and expand profits. The interpretation of data also aims to guide them in the future to make the best business decisions.  Complex business intelligence algorithms are in place these days. They need trained professionals to operate them; since this field is relatively new, there is a shortage of experts. Thus, there are vacancies for data analyst positions with lucrative pay if one is qualified enough.2. Good pay with benefitsA data analyst is an extremely lucrative profession, with an average base pay of $71,909 (Source), employee benefits, a good work-home balance, and other perks. It has been consistently rated as being among the hottest careers of the decade and allows professionals to have a long and satisfying career.   Companies Hiring Certified Data Analytics Professionals Oracle A California based brand, Oracle is a software company that is most famous for its data solutions. With over 130000 employees and a revenue of 39 billion, it is surely one of the bigger players in Data Analytics.  MicroStrategy   Unlike its name, this company is anything but micro, with more than 400 million worth of revenue. It provides a suite of analytical products along with business mobility solutions. It is a key player in the mobile space, working natively with Android and iOS.   SAS   One of the companies in the list which provides certifications and is also without a doubt one of the largest names in the field of Big Data, machine learning and Data Analytics, is SAS. The name SAS is derived from Statistical Analysis System. This company is trusted and has a solid reputation. It is also behind the SAS Institute for Data Science. Hence, SAS is the organisation you would want to go to if you're aiming for a long-term career in data science.    Conclusion To conclude, big data and data Analytics are a field of endless opportunities. By investing in the right credential, one can pave the way to a viable and lucrative career path. Beware though, there are lots of companies that provide certifications, but only recognised and reputed credentials will give you the opportunities you are seeking. Hiring companies look for these certifications as a mark of authenticity of your hands-on experience and the amount of work you can handle effectively. Therefore, the credential you choose for yourself plays a vital role in the career you can have in the field of Data analytics.  Happy learning!    
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Top Data Analytics Certifications

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Why Should You Start a Career in Machine Learning?

If you are even remotely interested in technology you would have heard of machine learning. In fact machine learning is now a buzzword and there are dozens of articles and research papers dedicated to it.  Machine learning is a technique which makes the machine learn from past experiences. Complex domain problems can be resolved quickly and efficiently using Machine Learning techniques.  We are living in an age where huge amounts of data are produced every second. This explosion of data has led to creation of machine learning models which can be used to analyse data and to benefit businesses.  This article tries to answer a few important concepts related to Machine Learning and informs you about the career path in this prestigious and important domain.What is Machine Learning?So, here’s your introduction to Machine Learning. This term was coined in the year 1997. “A computer program is said to learn from experience E with respect to some class of tasks T and performance measure P, if its performance at the tasks improves with the experiences.”, as defined in the book on ML written by Mitchell in 1997. The difference between a traditional programming and programming using Machine Learning is depicted here, the first Approach (a) is a traditional approach, and second approach (b) is a Machine Learning based approach.Machine Learning encompasses the techniques in AI which allow the system to learn automatically looking at the data available. While learning, the system tries to improve the experience without making any explicit efforts in programming. Any machine learning application follows the following steps broadlySelecting the training datasetAs the definition indicates, machine learning algorithms require past experience, that is data, for learning. So, selection of appropriate data is the key for any machine learning application.Preparing the dataset by preprocessing the dataOnce the decision about the data is made, it needs to be prepared for use. Machine learning algorithms are very susceptible to the small changes in data. To get the right insights, data must be preprocessed which includes data cleaning and data transformation.  Exploring the basic statistics and properties of dataTo understand what the data wishes to convey, the data engineer or Machine Learning engineer needs to understand the properties of data in detail. These details are understood by studying the statistical properties of data. Visualization is an important process to understand the data in detail.Selecting the appropriate algorithm to apply on the datasetOnce the data is ready and understood in detail, then appropriate Machine Learning algorithms or models are selected. The choice of algorithm depends on characteristics of data as well as type of task to be performed on the data. The choice also depends on what kind of output is required from the data.Checking the performance and fine-tuning the parameters of the algorithmThe model or algorithm chosen is fine-tuned to get improved performance. If multiple models are applied, then they are weighed against the performance. The final algorithm is again fine-tuned to get appropriate output and performance.Why Pursue a Career in Machine Learning in 2021?A recent survey has estimated that the jobs in AI and ML have grown by more than 300%. Even before the pandemic struck, Machine Learning skills were in high demand and the demand is expected to increase two-fold in the near future.A career in machine learning gives you the opportunity to make significant contributions in AI, the future of technology. All the big and small businesses are adopting Machine Learning models to improve their bottom-line margins and return on investment.  The use of Machine Learning has gone beyond just technology and it is now used in diverse industries including healthcare, automobile, manufacturing, government and more. This has greatly enhanced the value of Machine Learning experts who can earn an average salary of $112,000.  Huge numbers of jobs are expected to be created in the coming years.  Here are a few reasons why one should pursue a career in Machine Learning:The global machine learning market is expected to touch $20.83B in 2024, according to Forbes.  We are living in a digital age and this explosion of data has made the use of machine learning models a necessity. Machine Learning is the only way to extract meaning out of data and businesses need Machine Learning engineers to analyze huge data and gain insights from them to improve their businesses.If you like numbers, if you like research, if you like to read and test and if you have a passion to analyse, then machine learning is the career for you. Learning the right tools and programming languages will help you use machine learning to provide appropriate solutions to complex problems, overcome challenges and grow the business.Machine Learning is a great career option for those interested in computer science and mathematics. They can come up with new Machine Learning algorithms and techniques to cater to the needs of various business domains.As explained above, a career in machine learning is both rewarding and lucrative. There are huge number of opportunities available if you have the right expertise and knowledge. On an average, Machine Learning engineers get higher salaries, than other software developers.Years of experience in the Machine Learning domain, helps you break into data scientist roles, which is not just among the hottest careers of our generation but also a highly respected and lucrative career. Right skills in the right business domain helps you progress and make a mark for yourself in your organization. For example, if you have expertise in pharmaceutical industries and experience working in Machine learning, then you may land job roles as a data scientist consultant in big pharmaceutical companies.Statistics on Machine learning growth and the industries that use MLAccording to a research paper in AI Multiple (https://research.aimultiple.com/ml-stats/), the Machine Learning market will grow to 9 Billion USD by the end of 2022. There are various areas where Machine Learning models and solutions are getting deployed, and businesses see an overall increase of 44% investments in this area. North America is one of the leading regions in the adoption of Machine Learning followed by Asia.The Global Machine Learning market will grow by 42% which is evident from the following graph. Image sourceThere is a huge demand for Machine Learning modelling because of the large use of Cloud Based Applications and Services. The pandemic has changed the face of businesses, making them heavily dependent on Cloud and AI based services. Google, IBM, and Amazon are just some of the companies that have invested heavily in AI and Machine Learning based application development, to provide robust solutions for problems faced by small to large scale businesses. Machine Learning and Cloud based solutions are scalable and secure for all types of business.ML analyses and interprets data patterns, computing and developing algorithms for various business purposes.Advantages of Machine Learning courseNow that we have established the advantages of perusing a career in Machine Learning, let’s understand from where to start our machine learning journey. The best option would be to start with a Machine Learning course. There are various platforms which offer popular Machine Learning courses. One can always start with an online course which is both effective and safe in these COVID times.These courses start with an introduction to Machine Learning and then slowly help you to build your skills in the domain. Many courses even start with the basics of programming languages such as Python, which are important for building Machine Learning models. Courses from reputed institutions will hand hold you through the basics. Once the basics are clear, you may switch to an offline course and get the required certification.Online certifications have the same value as offline classes. They are a great way to clear your doubts and get personalized help to grow your knowledge. These courses can be completed along with your normal job or education, as most are self-paced and can be taken at a time of your convenience. There are plenty of online blogs and articles to aid you in completion of your certification.Machine Learning courses include many real time case studies which help you in understanding the basics and application aspects. Learning and applying are both important and are covered in good Machine Learning Courses. So, do your research and pick an online tutorial that is from a reputable institute.What Does the Career Path in Machine Learning Look Like?One can start their career in Machine Learning domain as a developer or application programmer. But the acquisition of the right skills and experience can lead you to various career paths. Following are some of the career options in Machine Learning (not an exhaustive list):Data ScientistA data scientist is a person with rich experience in a particular business field. A person who has a knowledge of domain, as well as machine learning modelling, is a data scientist. Data Scientists’ job is to study the data carefully and suggest accurate models to improve the business.AI and Machine Learning EngineerAn AI engineer is responsible for choosing the proper Machine Learning Algorithm based on natural language processing and neural network. They are responsible for applying it in AI applications like personalized advertising.  A Machine Learning Engineer is responsible for creating the appropriate models for improvement of the businessData EngineerA Data Engineer, as the name suggests, is responsible to collect data and make it ready for the application of Machine Learning models. Identification of the right data and making it ready for extraction of further insights is the main work of a data engineer.Business AnalystA person who studies the business and analyzes the data to get insights from it is a Business Analyst. He or she is responsible for extracting the insights from the data at hand.Business Intelligence (BI) DeveloperA BI developer uses Machine Learning and Data Analytics techniques to work on a large amount of data. Proper representation of data to suit business decisions, using the latest tools for creation of intuitive dashboards is the role of a BI developer.  Human Machine Interface learning engineerCreating tools using machine learning techniques to ease the human machine interaction or automate decisions, is the role of a Human Machine Interface learning engineer. This person helps in generating choices for users to ease their work.Natural Language Processing (NLP) engineer or developerAs the name suggests, this person develops various techniques to process Natural Language constructs. Building applications or systems using machine learning techniques to build Natural Language based applications is their main task. They create multilingual Chatbots for use in websites and other applications.Why are Machine Learning Roles so popular?As mentioned above, the market growth of AI and ML has increased tremendously over the past years. The Machine Learning Techniques are applied in every domain including marketing, sales, product recommendations, brand retention, creating advertising, understanding the sentiments of customer, security, banking and more. Machine learning algorithms are also used in emails to ease the users work. This says a lot, and proves that a career in Machine Learning is in high demand as all businesses are incorporating various machine learning techniques and are improving their business.One can harness this popularity by skilling up with Machine Learning skills. Machine Learning models are now being used by every company, irrespective of their size--small or big, to get insights on their data and use these insights to improve the business. As every company wishes to grow faster, they are deploying more machine learning engineers to get their work done on time. Also, the migration of businesses to Cloud services for better security and scalability, has increased their requirement for more Machine Learning algorithms and models to cater to their needs.Introducing the Machine learning techniques and solutions has brought huge returns for businesses.  Machine Learning solution providers like Google, IBM, Microsoft etc. are investing in human resources for development of Machine Learning models and algorithms. The tools developed by them are popularly used by businesses to get early returns. It has been observed that there is significant increase in patents in Machine Learning domains since the past few years, indicating the quantum of work happening in this domain.Machine Learning SkillsLet’s visit a few important skills one must acquire to work in the domain of Machine Learning.Programming languagesKnowledge of programming is very important for a career in Machine Learning. Languages like Python and R are popularly used to develop applications using Machine Learning models and algorithms. Python, being the simplest and most flexible language, is very popular for AI and Machine Learning applications. These languages provide rich support of libraries for implementation of Machine Learning Algorithms. A person who is good in programming can work very efficiently in this domain.Mathematics and StatisticsThe base for Machine Learning is mathematics and statistics. Statistics applied to data help in understanding it in micro detail. Many machine learning models are based on the probability theory and require knowledge of linear algebra, transformations etc. A good understanding of statistics and probability increases the early adoption to Machine Learning domain.Analytical toolsA plethora of analytical tools are available where machine learning models are already implemented and made available for use. Also, these tools are very good for visualization purposes. Tools like IBM Cognos, PowerBI, Tableue etc are important to pursue a career as a  Machine Learning engineer.Machine Learning Algorithms and librariesTo become a master in this domain, one must master the libraries which are provided with various programming languages. The basic understanding of how machine learning algorithms work and are implemented is crucial.Data Modelling for Machine Learning based systemsData lies at the core of any Machine Learning application. So, modelling the data to suit the application of Machine Learning algorithms is an important task. Data modelling experts are the heart of development teams that develop machine learning based systems. SQL based solutions like Oracle, SQL Server, and NoSQL solutions are important for modelling data required for Machine Learning applications. MongoDB, DynamoDB, Riak are some important NOSQL based solutions available to process unstructured data for Machine Learning applications.Other than these skills, there are two other skills that may prove to be beneficial for those planning on a career in the Machine Learning domain:Natural Language processing techniquesFor E-commerce sites, customer feedback is very important and crucial in determining the roadmap of future products. Many customers give reviews for the products that they have used or give suggestions for improvement. These feedbacks and opinions are analyzed to gain more insights about the customers buying habits as well as about the products. This is part of natural language processing using Machine Learning. The likes of Google, Facebook, Twitter are developing machine learning algorithms for Natural Language Processing and are constantly working on improving their solutions. Knowledge of basics of Natural Language Processing techniques and libraries is must in the domain of Machine Learning.Image ProcessingKnowledge of Image and Video processing is very crucial when a solution is required to be developed in the area of security, weather forecasting, crop prediction etc. Machine Learning based solutions are very effective in these domains. Tools like Matlab, Octave, OpenCV are some important tools available to develop Machine Learning based solutions which require image or video processing.ConclusionMachine Learning is a technique to automate the tasks based on past experiences. This is among the most lucrative career choices right now and will continue to remain so in the future. Job opportunities are increasing day by day in this domain. Acquiring the right skills by opting for a proper Machine Learning course is important to grow in this domain. You can have an impressive career trajectory as a machine learning expert, provided you have the right skills and expertise.
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Why Should You Start a Career in Machine Learning?

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Types of Probability Distributions Every Data Science Expert Should know

Data Science has become one of the most popular interdisciplinary fields. It uses scientific approaches, methods, algorithms, and operations to obtain facts and insights from unstructured, semi-structured, and structured datasets. Organizations use these collected facts and insights for efficient production, business growth, and to predict user requirements. Probability distribution plays a significant role in performing data analysis equipping a dataset for training a model. In this article, you will learn about the types of Probability Distribution, random variables, types of discrete distributions, and continuous distribution.  What is Probability Distribution? A Probability Distribution is a statistical method that determines all the probable values and possibilities that a random variable can deliver from a particular range. This range of values will have a lower bound and an upper bound, which we call the minimum and the maximum possible values.  Various factors on which plotting of a value depends are standard deviation, mean (or average), skewness, and kurtosis. All of these play a significant role in Data science as well. We can use probability distribution in physics, engineering, finance, data analysis, machine learning, etc. Significance of Probability distributions in Data Science In a way, most of the data science and machine learning operations are dependent on several assumptions about the probability of your data. Probability distribution allows a skilled data analyst to recognize and comprehend patterns from large data sets; that is, otherwise, entirely random variables and values. Thus, it makes probability distribution a toolkit based on which we can summarize a large data set. The density function and distribution techniques can also help in plotting data, thus supporting data analysts to visualize data and extract meaning. General Properties of Probability Distributions Probability distribution determines the likelihood of any outcome. The mathematical expression takes a specific value of x and shows the possibility of a random variable with p(x). Some general properties of the probability distribution are – The total of all probabilities for any possible value becomes equal to 1. In a probability distribution, the possibility of finding any specific value or a range of values must lie between 0 and 1. Probability distributions tell us the dispersal of the values from the random variable. Consequently, the type of variable also helps determine the type of probability distribution.Common Data Types Before jumping directly into explaining the different probability distributions, let us first understand the different types of probability distributions or the main categories of the probability distribution. Data analysts and data engineers have to deal with a broad spectrum of data, such as text, numerical, image, audio, voice, and many more. Each of these have a specific means to be represented and analyzed. Data in a probability distribution can either be discrete or continuous. Numerical data especially takes one of the two forms. Discrete data: They take specific values where the outcome of the data remains fixed. Like, for example, the consequence of rolling two dice or the number of overs in a T-20 match. In the first case, the result lies between 2 and 12. In the second case, the event will be less than 20. Different types of discrete distributions that use discrete data are: Binomial Distribution Hypergeometric Distribution Geometric Distribution Poisson Distribution Negative Binomial Distribution Multinomial Distribution  Continuous data: It can obtain any value irrespective of bound or limit. Example: weight, height, any trigonometric value, age, etc. Different types of continuous distributions that use continuous data are: Beta distribution Cauchy distribution Exponential distribution Gamma distribution Logistic distribution Weibull distribution Types of Probability Distribution explained Here are some of the popular types of Probability distributions used by data science professionals. (Try all the code using Jupyter Notebook) Normal Distribution: It is also known as Gaussian distribution. It is one of the simplest types of continuous distribution. This probability distribution is symmetrical around its mean value. It also shows that data at close proximity of the mean is frequently occurring, compared to data that is away from it. Here, mean = 0, variance = finite valueHere, you can see 0 at the center is the Normal Distribution for different mean and variance values. Here is a code example showing the use of Normal Distribution: from scipy.stats import norm  import matplotlib.pyplot as mpl  import numpy as np  def normalDist() -> None:      fig, ax = mpl.subplots(1, 1)      mean, var, skew, kurt = norm.stats(moments = 'mvsk')      x = np.linspace(norm.ppf(0.01),  norm.ppf(0.99), 100)      ax.plot(x, norm.pdf(x),          'r-', lw = 5, alpha = 0.6, label = 'norm pdf')      ax.plot(x, norm.cdf(x),          'b-', lw = 5, alpha = 0.6, label = 'norm cdf')      vals = norm.ppf([0.001, 0.5, 0.999])      np.allclose([0.001, 0.5, 0.999], norm.cdf(vals))      r = norm.rvs(size = 1000)      ax.hist(r, normed = True, histtype = 'stepfilled', alpha = 0.2)      ax.legend(loc = 'best', frameon = False)      mpl.show()  normalDist() Output: Bernoulli Distribution: It is the simplest type of probability distribution. It is a particular case of Binomial distribution, where n=1. It means a binomial distribution takes 'n' number of trials, where n > 1 whereas, the Bernoulli distribution takes only a single trial.   Probability Mass Function of a Bernoulli’s Distribution is:  where p = probability of success and q = probability of failureHere is a code example showing the use of Bernoulli Distribution: from scipy.stats import bernoulli  import seaborn as sb    def bernoulliDist():      data_bern = bernoulli.rvs(size=1200, p = 0.7)      ax = sb.distplot(          data_bern,           kde = True,           color = 'g',           hist_kws = {'alpha' : 1},          kde_kws = {'color': 'y', 'lw': 3, 'label': 'KDE'})      ax.set(xlabel = 'Bernouli Values', ylabel = 'Frequency Distribution')  bernoulliDist() Output:Continuous Uniform Distribution: In this type of continuous distribution, all outcomes are equally possible; each variable gets the same probability of hit as a consequence. This symmetric probabilistic distribution has random variables at an equal interval, with the probability of 1/(b-a). Here is a code example showing the use of Uniform Distribution: from numpy import random  import matplotlib.pyplot as mpl  import seaborn as sb  def uniformDist():      sb.distplot(random.uniform(size = 1200), hist = True)      mpl.show()  uniformDist() Output: Log-Normal Distribution: A Log-Normal distribution is another type of continuous distribution of logarithmic values that form a normal distribution. We can transform a log-normal distribution into a normal distribution. Here is a code example showing the use of Log-Normal Distribution import matplotlib.pyplot as mpl  def lognormalDist():      muu, sig = 3, 1      s = np.random.lognormal(muu, sig, 1000)      cnt, bins, ignored = mpl.hist(s, 80, normed = True, align ='mid', color = 'y')      x = np.linspace(min(bins), max(bins), 10000)      calc = (np.exp( -(np.log(x) - muu) **2 / (2 * sig**2))             / (x * sig * np.sqrt(2 * np.pi)))      mpl.plot(x, calc, linewidth = 2.5, color = 'g')      mpl.axis('tight')      mpl.show()  lognormalDist() Output: Pareto Distribution: It is one of the most critical types of continuous distribution. The Pareto Distribution is a skewed statistical distribution that uses power-law to describe quality control, scientific, social, geophysical, actuarial, and many other types of observable phenomena. The distribution shows slow or heavy-decaying tails in the plot, where much of the data reside at its extreme end. Here is a code example showing the use of Pareto Distribution – import numpy as np  from matplotlib import pyplot as plt  from scipy.stats import pareto  def paretoDist():      xm = 1.5        alp = [2, 4, 6]       x = np.linspace(0, 4, 800)      output = np.array([pareto.pdf(x, scale = xm, b = a) for a in alp])      plt.plot(x, output.T)      plt.show()  paretoDist() Output:Exponential Distribution: It is a type of continuous distribution that determines the time elapsed between events (in a Poisson process). Let’s suppose, that you have the Poisson distribution model that holds the number of events happening in a given period. We can model the time between each birth using an exponential distribution.Here is a code example showing the use of Pareto Distribution – from numpy import random  import matplotlib.pyplot as mpl  import seaborn as sb  def expDist():      sb.distplot(random.exponential(size = 1200), hist = True)      mpl.show()   expDist()Output:Types of the Discrete probability distribution – There are various types of Discrete Probability Distribution a Data science aspirant should know about. Some of them are – Binomial Distribution: It is one of the popular discrete distributions that determine the probability of x success in the 'n' trial. We can use Binomial distribution in situations where we want to extract the probability of SUCCESS or FAILURE from an experiment or survey which went through multiple repetitions. A Binomial distribution holds a fixed number of trials. Also, a binomial event should be independent, and the probability of obtaining failure or success should remain the same. Here is a code example showing the use of Binomial Distribution – from numpy import random  import matplotlib.pyplot as mpl  import seaborn as sb    def binomialDist():      sb.distplot(random.normal(loc = 50, scale = 6, size = 1200), hist = False, label = 'normal')      sb.distplot(random.binomial(n = 100, p = 0.6, size = 1200), hist = False, label = 'binomial')      plt.show()    binomialDist() Output:Geometric Distribution: The geometric probability distribution is one of the crucial types of continuous distributions that determine the probability of any event having likelihood ‘p’ and will happen (occur) after 'n' number of Bernoulli trials. Here 'n' is a discrete random variable. In this distribution, the experiment goes on until we encounter either a success or a failure. The experiment does not depend on the number of trials. Here is a code example showing the use of Geometric Distribution – import matplotlib.pyplot as mpl  def probability_to_occur_at(attempt, probability):      return (1-p)**(attempt - 1) * probability  p = 0.3  attempt = 4  attempts_to_show = range(21)[1:]  print('Possibility that this event will occur on the 7th try: ', probability_to_occur_at(attempt, p))  mpl.xlabel('Number of Trials')  mpl.ylabel('Probability of the Event')  barlist = mpl.bar(attempts_to_show, height=[probability_to_occur_at(x, p) for x in attempts_to_show], tick_label=attempts_to_show)  barlist[attempt].set_color('g')  mpl.show() Output:Poisson Distribution: Poisson distribution is one of the popular types of discrete distribution that shows how many times an event has the possibility of occurrence in a specific set of time. We can obtain this by limiting the Bernoulli distribution from 0 to infinity. Data analysts often use the Poisson distributions to comprehend independent events occurring at a steady rate in a given time interval. Here is a code example showing the use of Poisson Distribution from scipy.stats import poisson  import seaborn as sb  import numpy as np  import matplotlib.pyplot as mpl  def poissonDist():       mpl.figure(figsize = (10, 10))      data_binom = poisson.rvs(mu = 3, size = 5000)      ax = sb.distplot(data_binom, kde=True, color = 'g',                       bins=np.arange(data_binom.min(), data_binom.max() + 1),                       kde_kws={'color': 'y', 'lw': 4, 'label': 'KDE'})      ax.set(xlabel = 'Poisson Distribution', ylabel='Data Frequency')      mpl.show()      poissonDist() Output:Multinomial Distribution: A multinomial distribution is another popular type of discrete probability distribution that calculates the outcome of an event having two or more variables. The term multi means more than one. The Binomial distribution is a particular type of multinomial distribution with two possible outcomes - true/false or heads/tails. Here is a code example showing the use of Multinomial Distribution – import numpy as np  import matplotlib.pyplot as mpl  np.random.seed(99)   n = 12                      pvalue = [0.3, 0.46, 0.22]     s = []  p = []     for size in np.logspace(2, 3):      outcomes = np.random.multinomial(n, pvalue, size=int(size))        prob = sum((outcomes[:,0] == 7) & (outcomes[:,1] == 2) & (outcomes[:,2] == 3))/len(outcomes)      p.append(prob)      s.append(int(size))  fig1 = mpl.figure()  mpl.plot(s, p, 'o-')  mpl.plot(s, [0.0248]*len(s), '--r')  mpl.grid()  mpl.xlim(xmin = 0)  mpl.xlabel('Number of Events')  mpl.ylabel('Function p(X = K)') Output:Negative Binomial Distribution: It is also a type of discrete probability distribution for random variables having negative binomial events. It is also known as the Pascal distribution, where the random variable tells us the number of repeated trials produced during a specific number of experiments.  Here is a code example showing the use of Negative Binomial Distribution – import matplotlib.pyplot as mpl   import numpy as np   from scipy.stats import nbinom    x = np.linspace(0, 6, 70)   gr, kr = 0.3, 0.7        g = nbinom.ppf(x, gr, kr)   s = nbinom.pmf(x, gr, kr)   mpl.plot(x, g, "*", x, s, "r--") Output: Apart from these mentioned distribution types, various other types of probability distributions exist that data science professionals can use to extract reliable datasets. In the next topic, we will understand some interconnections & relationships between various types of probability distributions. Relationship between various Probability distributions – It is surprising to see that different types of probability distributions are interconnected. In the chart shown below, the dashed line is for limited connections between two families of distribution, whereas the solid lines show the exact relationship between them in terms of transformation, variable, type, etc. Conclusion  Probability distributions are prevalent among data analysts and data science professionals because of their wide usage. Today, companies and enterprises hire data science professionals in many sectors, namely, computer science, health, insurance, engineering, and even social science, where probability distributions appear as fundamental tools for application. It is essential for Data analysts and data scientists. to know the core of statistics. Probability Distributions perform a requisite role in analyzing data and cooking a dataset to train the algorithms efficiently. If you want to learn more about data science - particularly probability distributions and their uses, check out KnowledgeHut's comprehensive Data science course. 
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Types of Probability Distributions Every Data Scie...

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